TORCAST AI — UK Severe Weather Prediction

TORCAST AI

UK SEVERE WEATHER PREDICTION · v4

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TorCast AI

Loading... · 7 models

-- ⚠ Stale data

Ensemble

ECMWF IFS GFS ICON UKV ARPEGE ENS-50m GEFS-31m ICON-EPS

PERF MODE DATE

OBSERVED STRIKES THUNDER RISK

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All clear

No active severe weather risk

Today

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UK risk ingredients · mean over active area

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Forecast confidence

— % Model confidence

UncertainConfident

Model CAPE (J/kg)

ECMWF

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GFS

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ICON

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UKV

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ARPEGE

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Ensemble probabilities (50 members)

CAPE > 200 J/kg0%

CAPE > 500 J/kg0%

CAPE > 1000 J/kg0%

Overlays

⚡ Lightning

🌧 Radar

💨 Storm motion

⛈ TS warnings

✦ Smoothing

▲ SPC style

⋮ Spread hatch

RISK LEVEL

48H OUTLOOK

— click end hour

Now+12h+24h+36h+48h

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Risk Thunder % Confidence click to jump

Export GIF

Select a time range on the 48h bar

Layer Frame speed Overlay observed lightning strikes ▲ SPC polygon style (risk/hazard layers only)

Rendering…

LOCATION INSPECTOR

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Click anywhere on the map

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—composite risk

—thunder

CONFIDENCE—%

STORM MODE —

SUPERCELL POTENTIAL —

Threats

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Risk ingredients

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Forecast reasoning

Select a location to generate reasoning.

PEAK WINDOW —

Key forecast parameters

Instability

Kinematics & terrain

Moisture & indices

-- NONE

Risk & hazards

Atmosphere